July 9, 2023
The Inverted Yield Curve and the Next US Recession
This article is by Richard M. Salsman
July 8,2023
No better, more reliable forecaster of the US business cycle has existed in recent decades than the initial shape of the US Treasury yield curve, and since last October it’s been signaling another US recession that’s likely to begin in 2024. This is important, because recessions have been associated with bear markets in stocks and bull markets in bonds. Moreover, if a recession arrives early in 2024 it may affect the US elections in November.
https://www.aier.org/article/the-inverted-yield-curve-and-next-us-recession/
The Ominous Parallels Are Here. Now.
Leonard Peikoff's masterwork of non-fiction, The Ominous Parallels: The End of Freedom in America, has come to life under Trump. Published way back in 1982 (!) yet no one knows of it.It seems I cannot publish excerpts from Harry Binswanger's Lette…
Announcing The Techno-Humanist Manifesto!
A new philosophy of progress for the 21st centuryby Jason Crawford · July 8, 2024 Humans are a curious species: We have a need not only to do, but to explain what we are doing—to each other and ab…
